• Political Science

Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis

Author: Richards J. Heuer Jr.
Publisher: CQ Press
ISBN: 1483323021
Category: Political Science
Page: 384
View: 1573
In this Second Edition of Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis, authors Richards J. Heuer Jr. and Randolph H. Pherson showcase fifty-five structured analytic techniques—five new to this edition—that represent the most current best practices in intelligence, law enforcement, homeland security, and business analysis.

    • Political Science

Cases in Intelligence Analysis

Structured Analytic Techniques in Action
Author: Sarah Miller Beebe,Randolph H. Pherson
Publisher: CQ Press
ISBN: 1483340147
Category: Political Science
Page: 400
View: 7165
In their Second Edition of Cases in Intelligence Analysis: Structured Analytic Techniques in Action, accomplished instructors and intelligence practitioners Sarah Miller Beebe and Randolph H. Pherson offer robust, class-tested cases studies of events in foreign intelligence, counterintelligence, terrorism, homeland security, law enforcement, and decision-making support. Designed to give analysts-in-training an opportunity to apply structured analytic techniques and tackle real-life problems, each turnkey case delivers a captivating narrative, discussion questions, recommended readings, and a series of engaging analytic exercises.

    • Political Science

Critical Thinking for Strategic Intelligence

Author: Katherine Hibbs Pherson,Randolph H. Pherson
Publisher: CQ Press
ISBN: 1506316875
Category: Political Science
Page: 408
View: 8153
With this second edition of Critical Thinking for Strategic Intelligence, Randolph H. Pherson and Katherine Hibbs Pherson update their highly regarded, easy-to-use handbook for developing core critical thinking skills and analytic techniques. This indispensable text is framed around 20 key questions that all analysts must ask themselves as they prepare to conduct research, generate hypotheses, evaluate sources of information, draft papers, and ultimately present analysis. New material includes a chapter on working with statistics and probabilities at an introductory level; discussions on how to work with social media; managing the “big data” phenomenon and what role analysis plays both at the front and back end of utilizing such information. Each of the book’s chapters are consistently organized, enabling students and analysts alike to easily trace the key steps of: Setting the Stage; Looking More Deeply; Key Takeaways; Considering the Case Study, and the book’s illustrations include useful graphics that diagram and display the processes and structured analytic techniques for arriving at the best possible analytical products. The “Analyst’s Roadmap” provides an at-a-glance “map” for readers depicting the best practices involved in perfecting the analytical product. A set of carefully crafted case studies on national intelligence, homeland security, and law enforcement issues illustrate how to apply these critical thinking skills tie directly to end-of-chapter questions, providing valuable self-assessment opportunities.

    • Psychology

Psychology of Intelligence Analysis

Author: Richards J. Heuer
Publisher: Lulu.com
ISBN: 0160590353
Category: Psychology
Page: 184
View: 2945

    • Political Science

Intelligence Analysis

A Target-Centric Approach
Author: Robert M. Clark
Publisher: CQ Press
ISBN: 1506316794
Category: Political Science
Page: 448
View: 6834
Robert M. Clark’s Intelligence Analysis: A Target-Centric Approach demonstrates that a collaborative, target-centric approach leads to sharper and more effective analysis, while better meeting the needs of the customer. Thoroughly revised to reflect the changes in the constantly shifting landscape of intelligence, the Fifth Edition contains a new chapter that frames the nature of intelligence in 21st century conflict. The book also accounts for recent events such as the rise of ISIL and the conflict in Ukraine, and contains new examples throughout. Clark’s practical information and insider perspective create the perfect resource for students and practitioners alike.

Critical Thinking and Intelligence Analysis

Author: David T. Moore
Publisher: DIANE Publishing
ISBN: 1437934927
Page: 134
View: 382
Contents: (1) How Do People Reason?; (2) What is Critical Thinking?; (3) What Can Be Learned from the Past?: Thinking Critically about Cuba: Deploying the Missiles; Assessing the Implications; Between Dogmatism and Refutation; Lacking: Disconfirmation; The Roles of Critical Thinking in the Cuban Crisis; Winners and Losers: The Crisis in Context; Ten Years Later, They Meet Again; Judgment; (4) How Can Intelligence Analysts Employ Critical Thinking?; (5) How Can Intelligence Analysts be Taught to Think Critically?; (6) How Does Critical Thinking Transform?; (7) What Other Points of View Exist?; (8) What Does the Future Hold?; (9) NSA¿s Critical Thinking and Structured Analysis Class Syllabus. Charts and tables.

Handbook of Analytic Tools and Techniques

Author: Pherson Associates
Publisher: N.A
ISBN: 9780979888038
Page: 48
View: 1474
Learn how to use 24 structured analytic techniques to overcome mindsets, structure uncertainties, leverage your imagination, reduce the chance of surprise, and instill more rigor in your analysis. Use of the techniques in growing steadily in the intelligence, homeland security, and law enforcement communities as well as in the private sector and across the globe! The Handbook of Analytic Tools and Techniques provides a definition of each technique, advice on when to use it, a description of how each adds value to the analysis, and a step-by-step description of the specific method involved. The Handbook is organized into five parts: * Innovative Techniques - Break the Mold!* Diagnostic Techniques - Crack the Code!* Reframing Techniques - Challenge Your Mindset!* Foresight Techniques - Anticipate the Future!* Decision Support Tools - Make a Plan!

    • History

Challenges in Intelligence Analysis

Lessons from 1300 BCE to the Present
Author: Timothy Walton
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 0521132657
Category: History
Page: 294
View: 9615
In Challenges in Intelligence Analysis, first published in 2010, Timothy Walton offers concrete, reality-based ways to improve intelligence analysis.

    • Political Science

Reasoning for Intelligence Analysts

A Multidimensional Approach of Traits, Techniques, and Targets
Author: Noel Hendrickson
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
ISBN: 1442272325
Category: Political Science
Page: 320
View: 3611
The goal of Reasoning for Intelligence Analysts is to address the three distinct dimensions of an analyst’s thinking: the person of the analyst (their traits), the processes they use (their techniques), and the problems they face (their targets). Based on a decade of academic research and university teaching in a program for aspiring intelligence analysts, this multidimensional approach will help the reader move beyond the traditional boundaries of accumulating knowledge or critical thinking with techniques to assess the unique targets of reasoning in the information age. This approach is not just a set of techniques, but covers all elements of reasoning by discussing the personal, procedural, and problem-specific aspects. It also addresses key challenges, such as uncertain data, irrelevant or misleading information, indeterminate outcomes, and significance for clients through an extensive examination of hypothesis development, causal analysis, futures exploration, and strategy assessment. Both critical and creative thinking, which are essential to reasoning in intelligence, are integrated throughout. Structured around independently readable chapters, this text offers a systematic approach to reasoning a long with an extensive toolkit that will serve the needs of both students and intelligence professionals.

    • Political Science

Analyzing Intelligence

Origins, Obstacles, and Innovations
Author: Roger Z. George,James B. Bruce
Publisher: Georgetown University Press
ISBN: 1589012399
Category: Political Science
Page: 352
View: 2631
Drawing on the individual and collective experience of recognized intelligence experts and scholars in the field, Analyzing Intelligence provides the first comprehensive assessment of the state of intelligence analysis since 9/11. Its in-depth and balanced evaluation of more than fifty years of U.S. analysis includes a critique of why it has under-performed at times. It provides insights regarding the enduring obstacles as well as new challenges of analysis in the post-9/11 world, and suggests innovative ideas for improved analytical methods, training, and structured approaches. The book's six sections present a coherent plan for improving analysis. Early chapters examine how intelligence analysis has evolved since its origins in the mid-20th century, focusing on traditions, culture, successes, and failures. The middle sections examine how analysis supports the most senior national security and military policymakers and strategists, and how analysts must deal with the perennial challenges of collection, politicization, analytical bias, knowledge building and denial and deception. The final sections of the book propose new ways to address enduring issues in warning analysis, methodology (or "analytical tradecraft") and emerging analytic issues like homeland defense. The book suggests new forms of analytic collaboration in a global intelligence environment, and imperatives for the development of a new profession of intelligence analysis. Analyzing Intelligence is written for the national security expert who needs to understand the role of intelligence and its strengths and weaknesses. Practicing and future analysts will also find that its attention to the enduring challenges provides useful lessons-learned to guide their own efforts. The innovations section will provoke senior intelligence managers to consider major changes in the way analysis is currently organized and conducted, and the way that analysts are trained and perform.

    • Political Science

Quantitative Intelligence Analysis

Applied Analytic Models, Simulations, and Games
Author: Edward Waltz
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
ISBN: 144223587X
Category: Political Science
Page: 314
View: 3720
The text explains the model-based method of intelligence analysis that represents the analyst’s mental models of a subject as well as the analyst’s reasoning process. It includes dynamic simulations and interactive analytic games, case studies that illustrate a wide range of intelligence problems, and a recommended curriculum for technical analysts.

    • Political Science

Improving Intelligence Analysis

Bridging the Gap between Scholarship and Practice
Author: Stephen Marrin
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1136680470
Category: Political Science
Page: 192
View: 7180
This book on intelligence analysis written by intelligence expert Dr. Stephen Marrin argues that scholarship can play a valuable role in improving intelligence analysis. Improving intelligence analysis requires bridging the gap between scholarship and practice. Compared to the more established academic disciplines of political science and international relations, intelligence studies scholarship is generally quite relevant to practice. Yet a substantial gap exists nonetheless. Even though there are many intelligence analysts, very few of them are aware of the various writings on intelligence analysis which could help them improve their own processes and products. If the gap between scholarship and practice were to be bridged, practitioners would be able to access and exploit the literature in order to acquire new ways to think about, frame, conceptualize, and improve the analytic process and the resulting product. This volume contributes to the broader discussion regarding mechanisms and methods for improving intelligence analysis processes and products. It synthesizes these articles into a coherent whole, linking them together through common themes, and emphasizes the broader vision of intelligence analysis in the introduction and conclusion chapters. The book will be of great interest to students of intelligence studies, strategic studies, US national security, US foreign policy, security studies and political science in general,as well as professional intelligence analysts and managers.

    • Social Science

Handbook on Crime

Author: Fiona Brookman,Mike Maguire,Harriet Pierpoint,Trevor Bennett
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1317436741
Category: Social Science
Page: 984
View: 3862
The Handbook on Crime is a comprehensive edited volume that contains analysis and explanation of the nature, extent, patterns and causes of over 40 different forms of crime, in each case drawing attention to key contemporary debates and social and criminal justice responses to them. It also challenges many popular and official conceptions of crime. This book is one of the few criminological texts that takes as its starting point a range of specific types of criminal activity. It addresses not only 'conventional' offences such as shoplifting, burglary, robbery, and vehicle crime, but many other forms of criminal behaviour - often an amalgamation of different legal offences - which attract contemporary media, public and policy concern. These include crimes committed not only by individuals, but by organised criminal groups, corporations and governments. There are chapters on, for example, gang violence, hate crime, elder abuse, animal abuse, cyber crime, identity theft, money-laundering, eco crimes, drug trafficking, human trafficking, genocide, and global terrorism. Many of these topics receive surprisingly little attention in the criminological literature. The Handbook on Crime will be a unique text of lasting value to students, researchers, academics, practitioners, policy makers, journalists and all others involved in understanding and preventing criminal behaviour.

    • Psychology

Intelligence Success and Failure

The Human Factor
Author: Uri Bar-Joseph,Rose McDermott
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 019067699X
Category: Psychology
Page: 256
View: 613
The study of strategic surprise has long concentrated on important failures that resulted in catastrophes such as Pearl Harbor and the September 11th attacks, and the majority of previously published research in the field determines that such large-scale military failures often stem from defective information-processing systems. Intelligence Success and Failure challenges this common assertion that catastrophic surprise attacks are the unmistakable products of warning failure alone. Further, Uri Bar-Joseph and Rose McDermott approach this topic uniquely by highlighting the successful cases of strategic surprise, as well as the failures, from a psychological perspective. This book delineates the critical role of individual psychopathologies in precipitating failure by investigating important historical cases. Bar-Joseph and McDermott use six particular military attacks as examples for their analysis, including: "Barbarossa," the June 1941 German invasion of the USSR (failure); the fall-winter 1941 battle for Moscow (success); the Arab attack on Israel on Yom Kippur 1973 (failure); and the second Egyptian offensive in the war six days later (success). From these specific cases and others, they analyze the psychological mechanisms through which leaders assess their own fatal mistakes and use the intelligence available to them. Their research examines the factors that contribute to failure and success in responding to strategic surprise and identify the learning process that central decision makers use to facilitate subsequent successes. Intelligence Success and Failure presents a new theory in the study of strategic surprise that claims the key explanation for warning failure is not unintentional action, but rather, motivated biases in key intelligence and central leaders that null any sense of doubt prior to surprise attacks.

    • Law

The Art and Science of Intelligence Analysis

Author: Julian Richards
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 0199578451
Category: Law
Page: 197
View: 1247
Written for trainers and analysts in British policing and security services, this book takes a practical look at intelligence analysis by synthesising the key issues and providing context. With case studies and scenario-based exercises, the author presents practical recommendations for training and analysis.

    • Business & Economics

Illuminating Dark Networks

The Study of Clandestine Groups and Organizations
Author: Luke M. Gerdes
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1107102693
Category: Business & Economics
Page: 276
View: 9760
Illuminating Dark Networks discusses new necessary methods to understand dark networks, because these clandestine groups differ from transparent organizations.